Monday, November 9, 2020

COVID Peak

Poprvé po dlouhé době dává naivní sigmoidní fit nakažených v Česku pozitivní výsledek, 3 dny za kulminací, předpokládaný koncový počet nakažených bude skoro 800 tisíc.
Kulminace počtu obětí by měla nastat zhruba za týden, celkově bude skoro 15 tisíc obětí.

Sunday, November 8, 2020

Grotesque Loser

Despite his horrible personality, his heritage could be not completely negative. After all, he has done some good things, in the foreign policy, in the economy, his prison reform is probably more important to the black community than all those BLM riots. And whether we like it or not, he was a voice of many voiceless people. But by that childish refusal to leave with dignity, he has wasted all that and he will be remembered mostly as a grotesque loser. 


Friday, November 6, 2020

The Narrowest Win

Biden, Harris and the Democrats should seriously think about those elections. Why, after 4 years of the childish, narcissist and chaotic president, after a massive support of almost all major media, they have won by nearly the smallest possible margin - and not only the Presidency, but the Senate and the House as well (and they may still lose them). And why they have lost in all 'minority' groups (blacks, latinos, women) in comparison with the elections 2016, while they are pretending to represent exactly those people.



Monday, October 26, 2020

How to use Covid to measure Meteo

The graph shows the number of days needed to double the number of infected people (with the current infection evolution). Clearly, the higher, the better. 


During the summer, the doubling delay was growing almost linearly, which was very good. In September, in most European countries, the situation rapidly deteriorated. The weather was very cold. About a week ago, the temperature started to go up - and the doubling delay quickly followed. It will be interesting to see what happens when weather becomes cold again.


(The cause of much worse evolution in Czechia has probably nothing to do with weather.)

Winter is Coming !  



Tragédie Česka

Ono i v zemích, kde vládnou populisti nebo cvoci se většinou vláda upřímně snaží to zvládnout. I takovej Trump nebo Bolsonaro nechce aby mu lidí zbytečně umírali.

Tragédie Česka je v tom, že Babišovi jde hlavně o to, aby na tom on osobně neprodělal (a pokud možno aby na tom vydělal). Důkazem je, že po páteční aféře Prymula odejde a Faltýnek zůstane. 

Sunday, October 25, 2020

Ideological Patterns

It is interesting how the same ideological patterns manifest themselves in various contexts.

In the same way as we are discussing whether people are dying because of covid or just with covid,

we don't agree whether terrorists kill because of islam or just with islam

In fact, the parallel is even deeper: In both cases (covid, islam):

  1. One gets infected by longer contact with already infected person.
  2. Only a small fraction of infected people turns bad.
  3. But even such small number of people creates serious problems.